Filtered dossier

Hidden Logic

Ideas that behave differently than they look.

  • 12 / 12
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    Paradox & Proof Entry #1119

    Why two losing bets can win when you alternate them

    Parrondo paradox shows why two losing bets can win when you alternate them: the switching itself changes the state distribution the games are played from.

    Master
    The hidden part #1119

    Two losing games can win together when the switching changes the states they are played from.

    Open file
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    Paradox & Proof Entry #1118

    Why a treatment that works in trials can fail in practice

    The efficacy-effectiveness gap explains why a treatment that works in trials can fail in practice: trials strip out the patients and conditions ordinary care contains.

    Adept
    The hidden part #1118

    A trial measures what a treatment can do; practice measures what it does do.

    Open file
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    Paradox & Proof Entry #1117

    Why a more efficient engine can burn more fuel

    The Jevons paradox explains why a more efficient engine can burn more fuel: cheaper work invites so much extra use that total consumption rises.

    Adept
    The hidden part #1117

    Efficiency makes each unit cheaper, and cheaper units get used until the saving is spent.

    Open file
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    Decision Architecture Entry #1114

    Why binding your future self beats relying on willpower

    Precommitment works because a calm self restricts the options of a future impulsive self, turning a willpower problem into a structural constraint.

    Master
    The hidden part #1114

    You cannot out-argue your future self, but you can take away its options.

    Open file
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    Decision Architecture Entry #1113

    Why an option looks better alone than beside a rival

    The evaluability hypothesis explains why an option wins alone and loses beside a rival: attributes with no natural scale stay invisible until compared.

    Adept
    The hidden part #1113

    An attribute with no scale is invisible alone and decisive beside a rival.

    Open file
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    Decision Architecture Entry #1112

    Why writing down when and where you will act works

    Implementation intentions work because a written when-and-where plan hands control to the situation, so the action fires without a fresh decision.

    Adept
    The hidden part #1112

    A goal names the destination; an if-then plan names the moment the journey starts.

    Open file
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    Decision Architecture Entry #1111

    Why one decision at a time is judged differently

    Choice bracketing explains why the same gamble is refused alone and accepted in a series: judged one at a time, each loss is felt in full.

    Novice
    The hidden part #1111

    A gamble refused alone is the same gamble accepted in a series; only the frame moved.

    Open file
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    Decision Architecture Entry #1110

    Why a decision for a stranger feels calmer

    A stranger decision feels calmer because psychological distance reduces the emotional pull that makes personal choices feel heavier and less certain.

    Novice
    The hidden part #1110

    Distance makes judgment calmer because it makes self-defence quieter.

    Open file
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    Decision Architecture Entry #1109

    The reason a foreign language steadies hard choices

    Foreign language decisions can feel cooler and slower, because the second language adds distance, lowering the pull of instinct and emotion.

    Master
    The hidden part #1109

    A second language can cool a decision without making it truer.

    Open file
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    Cognitive Bias Entry #1108

    Why you take credit for the team’s win and forget your part

    Egocentric contribution bias makes every team member recall their own share as larger than it was, so the claimed contributions add up past one hundred per cent.

    Adept
    The hidden part #1108

    Everyone remembers their own part in detail and everyone else's in summary; the totals never add up.

    Open file
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    Cognitive Bias Entry #1107

    Why a cheap wine tastes better when you are told the price

    Expectation assimilation means a stated price changes the pleasure you actually taste, not just the words you use to describe the wine afterwards.

    Novice
    The hidden part #1107

    You do not taste the wine and then the price; the price is already in the glass.

    Open file