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judgement

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    Paradox & Proof Entry #0158

    The reason more information can lower accuracy

    Adding weakly relevant detail to a judgement raises confidence and often leaves accuracy flat or worse. The extra material dilutes the signal it was meant to sharpen.

    Adept
    The hidden part #0158

    Non-diagnostic detail is averaged in rather than ignored. Confidence tracks volume of information; accuracy tracks its quality.

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    Framing Effects Entry #0501

    Why ninety per cent fat free beats ten per cent fat

    Ninety per cent lean and ten per cent fat describe the same thing, and the two descriptions produce measurably different judgements.

    Novice
    The hidden part #0501

    The same fact stated from the favourable end is not the same message. Both halves are true; only one is offered.

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