Filtered dossier

optimistic valuation

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  • No visual on file
    Reward Loops Entry #0614

    The reason a mystery drop outsells a named item

    A crate labelled “random skin” sells faster than the same skins sold by name, because an unknown item is scored as though it were the best one inside.

    Adept
    The hidden part #0614

    A named item is worth what it is. A mystery item is worth what you hope it is — and hope prices higher than the average ever will.

    Open file
  • No visual on file
    Reward Loops Entry #0602

    The reason a loot box feels fair right up until you open it

    Before opening, the box is pure possibility and every rare item is still inside it. Opening replaces the whole set of maybes with one ordinary thing.

    Adept
    The hidden part #0602

    An unopened box is priced at its best case. Opening is the moment that case collapses into the average you were always going to get.

    Open file