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probability weighting

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    Reward Loops Entry #0620

    The reason gacha odds are published and still mislead

    Disclosing a one-percent drop rate looks like honesty. But a small published probability, pulled at repeatedly, reads to the mind as almost certain.

    Master
    The hidden part #0620

    A published one percent is honest arithmetic and dishonest psychology. Small odds read as soon, and a run of misses reads as owed.

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    Competition Design Entry #0673

    Why one weekly winner lifts the whole field

    Announcing a single winner each week makes the prize feel attainable to the entire field, because one winner among many looks like luck anyone could have.

    Adept
    The hidden part #0673

    One visible winner among thousands makes winning feel possible, not probable. Possibility is what moves the field.

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