The reason more roads can mean slower traffic
A new road is opened and the journey takes longer. Nobody made a mistake. Every driver chose correctly, and that is precisely the problem.
Filed by The Archivist 2 min read
Intuition test — answer before you read on
A city closes a busy central road. What has actually been observed in several cases?
Correct answer: B
Journey times can improve. Removing a link can shift the network to a better equilibrium — the mirror image of Braess’s original result. Seoul’s Cheonggyecheon and several New York closures are documented examples.
A city adds a road to relieve congestion. Journey times get worse. No engineer miscalculated, no driver behaved irrationally, and no unusual event occurred. The network simply produced an outcome that none of its users wanted and all of them helped create.
What everyone sees
Capacity was added, so throughput should rise. When it does not, the explanation reached for is volume: more people must be driving, or the work was done badly. Both are testable and both are frequently false.
What is actually happening
When every driver independently picks their own fastest route, the resulting distribution of traffic need not be the fastest for the network. Dietrich Braess showed in 1968 that adding a link can move the equilibrium to a worse one for everybody. The new road is individually attractive and collectively destructive, and the gap between those two facts is stable — it does not resolve with learning, because each driver is already choosing optimally. Seoul and New York have both recorded improved flow after closing roads.
Why it stays hidden
Because the failure has no author. Every participant made the right decision, so there is nobody to blame and no obvious error to point at. Systems that fail through correct individual behaviour are the hardest kind to see, and the intuition that capacity equals throughput is very hard to dislodge.
Braess’s paradox is not a story about bad drivers. It is a demonstration that a network of perfectly rational choices can settle on an outcome worse than the one it started from.
Braess’s paradox is not a story about bad drivers. It is a demonstration that a network of perfectly rational choices can settle on an outcome worse than the one it started from.
Collect this card
Braess’s paradox is not a story about bad drivers. It is a demonstration that a network of perfectly rational choices can settle on an outcome worse than the one it started from.
0 / 10,000 collected
Sources & further reading 3
- Braess, "Über ein Paradoxon aus der Verkehrsplanung", 1968
- Youn, Gastner & Jeong, "Price of Anarchy in Transportation Networks", Physical Review Letters, 2008
- Roughgarden, "Selfish Routing and the Price of Anarchy", 2005
Cross-references
Related files
Filed near this one in the index.
-
No visual on fileSocial Proof Entry #0212
The reason a room applauds before deciding it enjoyed it
The clap is not a verdict on the performance. It is a motor response to a social cue, and the verdict is constructed afterwards to match it.
AdeptThe hidden part #0212The room does not applaud because it decided. It decides because it applauded.
Social Proof Open file -
No visual on fileSocial Proof Entry #0209
Why you copy the person one step ahead, not the expert
The expert is too far away to imitate usefully. The person one step ahead is close enough that their success looks attainable and their method looks replicable.
AdeptThe hidden part #0209Expertise shows where to go. Proximity shows how to step. Only the step changes behaviour.
Social Proof Open file -
No visual on fileSocial Proof Entry #0208
The reason a small minority can shift a whole norm
A committed minority does not need to outnumber the majority. It needs to outlast it, because indifference yields to persistence.
AdeptThe hidden part #0208A committed minority does not convert the majority. It makes conversion cheaper than resistance.
Social Proof Open file -
Hidden Logic Entry #0011
Why nobody calls for help in a crowd
More witnesses does not mean more help. Past a certain crowd size, the probability that any individual acts collapses — and everyone involved believes they behaved reasonably.
Adept
Annotations are reserved for archive members.
Sign in to annotate